Gold Nears $4,700 as US–EU Trade War Over Greenland Ignites Haven Rush

Rahul KaushikBusinessJanuary 20, 2026

Gold Nears $4,700 as US–EU Trade War
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New Delhi, january 20, 2026: Gold prices surged to a historic lifetime high on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, as the world’s financial markets reeled from an explosive escalation in trade tensions between the United States and the European Union. Spot gold touched a peak of $4,694.35 per ounce, coming within arm’s reach of the psychologically significant $4,700 barrier.

The rally, which saw gold jump more than 1.5% in a single session, is being fueled by what analysts call a “toxic cocktail” of geopolitical instability and protectionist trade policies.

The Greenland Spark

The primary driver behind this sudden flight to safety is the escalating dispute over Greenland. Over the weekend, U.S. President Donald Trump intensified his administration’s push to acquire the territory, announcing a 10% tariff on eight European nations—including heavyweights like Germany, France, and the United Kingdom—effective February 1.

The White House has warned that these duties could scale to 25% by June unless a “territorial deal” is reached. Europe has responded with institutional defiance, with members of the European Parliament moving to freeze existing trade deals and preparing retaliatory measures targeting roughly €93 billion ($108 billion) in American goods.

Market Reaction: A “Risk-Off” Stampede

Investors have reacted by dumping riskier assets and piling into “safe havens.” While the U.S. Dollar initially slipped under the weight of tariff uncertainty, precious metals and traditional haven currencies like the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc have soared.

  • Silver’s Meteoric Rise: Not to be outdone, silver spiked over 4% to hit a record $94.08 per ounce, driven by a mix of defensive buying and concerns over industrial supply chains.
  • Crypto and Equities: In contrast, Bitcoin slipped below $93,000 amid a broader liquidation of speculative assets, while European auto and luxury stocks—sectors most vulnerable to trade barriers—plunged by nearly 3%.

Pressure on the Federal Reserve

The surge in gold is also being amplified by domestic political drama in Washington. As gold climbed, the Federal Reserve faced fresh pressure following a Justice Department probe into Chair Jerome Powell. Market participants are increasingly concerned about the independence of the central bank, a factor that historically drives investors toward gold as a hedge against currency debasement.

What’s Next?

Technical analysts suggest that if bullion successfully breaches the $4,700 level, the next targets could be $4,750 and even $4,800. However, some warn of a potential “negative divergence” in momentum indicators, suggesting the rally could see a short-term cooling if diplomatic tensions show any signs of easing.

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